No DMZ, no deterrence: India’s border strategy and Bangladesh’s strategic sleepwalk
When
you hear the phrase “border flashpoint,” it’s easy to imagine some distant
skirmish on a map. But the worry here in Bangladesh is acute and proximate.
A
22-kilometer sliver of land in India–the Siliguri Corridor, nicknamed the
“Chicken’s Neck”--is the slender umbilical that links India’s vast eastern
expanse to the rest of the country.
Cut
it, and the eastern states, including the Siliguri district of West Bengal and
the seven sister states beyond, would be all but severed from New Delhi’s
immediate reach.
India
shares a 4,096-kilometer border with Bangladesh; within that sweeping boundary
lie focus points that demand sober scrutiny. The Siliguri Corridor sits between
Nepal and China on one side and Bangladesh on the other–a perilous meeting of
unfriendly neighbors at a time when relations with Beijing, Kathmandu and Dhaka
are strained.
The
corridor is the principal artery for military logistics and political cohesion
for a region otherwise far removed from India’s heartland.
Bangladesh,
for its part, possesses its own “Chicken’s Neck”-- a narrow coastal strip
bounded by India and the Sandwip Channel of the Bay of Bengal.
That
corridor links Tripura and the Feni region to Chattogram (Chittagong),
Bangladesh’s principal export port. Severing it would do more than
inconvenience: it would imperil Chattogram’s function as the country’s maritime
lifeline and complicate governance in the disputed hill tracts of Chattogram
and Cox’s Bazar.
In
an age when social media metastasizes grievance into mobilization, hardline
voices on both sides have found a receptive audience online; alarmist talk of
annexation and partition circulates in echo chambers and stokes real-world
anxiety.
It
is tempting… and irresponsible… to treat such chatter as mere nationalist
posturing.
That
temptation has, apparently, been squandered at higher levels. Reports of
ambitious scheming to “seize the Chicken’s Neck” and physically detach India’s
eastern provinces have been voiced from corridors close to power.
Whether
the talk was bravado or a thought exercise, it has had a predictable effect:
New Delhi has moved decisively to defend its narrow flank.
The
Indian response has not been subtle. Military infrastructure has been bolstered
with surgical specificity. In Chopra (North Dinajpur, West Bengal), a sizeable
installation was established at coordinates 26.36634° N, 88.31330° E–a mere six
to seven kilometers from Panchagarh near the Bangladeshi border.
Another
base has been set up in Kishanganj, Bihar (26.07944° N, 87.93722° E), within striking
distance of Baliadanga in Thakurgaon (19 kilometers) and the
Tetulia-Bahadurabad area in Panchagarh (5.5 kilometers).
Downriver in Dhubri, Assam, a new garrison sits some 18 kilometers from Dhannyiram in Kurigram, Bangladesh. These are a carefully composed defensive ring around a vulnerability everyone now concedes is existential.
-690f3ab65f579.png)
Seeing through the rhetoric
Hyperbole
has followed: critics claim India has occupied 65 kilometers of Bangladeshi
territory.
The
truth, as often happens in border disputes, lies muddled between posturing and
paranoia. Even if lines have not been redrawn wholesale, the militarization of
borderlands is unmistakable.
The
kinds of weaponry and the scale of forces marshaled to Bamuni (Dhubri),
Kishanganj and Chopra are worth watching…not because they make conflict
inevitable, but because they raise the political and humanitarian stakes of any
diplomatic lapse.
There
is a moral calculus here that too many actors have ignored. Provocation,
whether by fringe groups online or by reckless rhetoric from official quarters,
does not exist in a vacuum.
In
a region where populations are dense and histories interwoven, the margin for a
miscalculation is paper thin. Those who cheer or incite such posturing in the
name of patriotism are betting recklessly against its cohesion.
A
sensible path forward would be the opposite of spectacle. Diplomacy must be
active, verifiable and transparent: joint patrols, third-party observers,
confidence-building measures and immediate, clear channels for incident
de-escalation.
Both
New Delhi and Dhaka would do well to invite international mediation on
technical demarcation concerns and to placate domestic audiences with policies
that reduce insecurity rather than amplify it.
This
is not the time for grandstanding or for treating geography like a chessboard.
The region’s human consequences are immediate, and the strategic risk is
obvious: a few dozen kilometers of contested terrain could cascade into lasting
fracture.
If the political class believes that nationalism
is proved through muscle, it will discover that the true test of statesmanship
is restraint. The Chicken’s Necks on both sides of the border demand not
jingoistic bravado but judicious statesmanship–and quickly.
It
is astonishing how quickly fantasy can overtake foreign policy.
In
certain corners of Dhaka and across the digital void of social media, one now
hears bold whispers that America’s Navy SEALs will descend from the skies,
Turkish drones will swarm across the border, and Pakistani arms will arrive to
tip the balance against India.
Such daydreams are not only naïve…they are suicidal. None of this will happen. What will arrive instead is isolation and pressure.
-690f3aca6f16f.png)
Pragmatic approach
For
Bangladesh, survival as a self-respecting neighbor beside India cannot, and
will not, come from military bravado.
Power,
in this part of the world, is constrained by geopolitical arithmetic.
Even
if Dhaka had the money, no one would sell it the means of parity. Heavy
weaponry–fighter jets, advanced anti-aircraft guns, missile systems, or
sophisticated radar networks– are instruments of trust and long-term strategic
interdependence.
You
cannot buy a nuclear weapon from North Korea, or a hypersonic missile system
with a blank check. The world doesn’t work that way.
Equally
delusional is the belief that Washington might mold Bangladesh into a South
Asian Israel–a proxy outpost through which to police the region. That fantasy
collapses under the weight of geography and reality.
The
United States has neither the appetite nor the strategic imperative to
underwrite another miniature fortress wedged between India and the Bay of
Bengal. Those who cling to this myth are counting stars in daylight, mistaking
digital noise for geopolitical relevance.
The
truth is harder, and simpler. To coexist with India as a sovereign equal,
Bangladesh must first disarm itself of illusions.
National
strength in the 21st century will not come from borrowed firepower rather from civic
intelligence. The real defense is a politically educated populace–one that does
not wage wars through Facebook memes or weaponize communal divisions for
clicks.
Building
that kind of nation–modern, literate, civilized and technologically fluent–would
do more for Bangladesh’s dignity than any imported drone fleet ever could.
It
would, of course, come at a cost. Fewer viral provocations, less performative
outrage, and thus, lower revenue for the YouTube populists and social-media
patriots who thrive on ignorance. But perhaps that is a price worth paying.
Let’s
be blunt: Bangladesh can do nothing against India. It is boxed in–politically,
and militarily. And most importantly–geographically.
The country has no Demilitarized Zone agreement with India, no buffer, no legal framework to restrain troop buildup or air base construction near its borders.
-690f3ada102c5.jpeg)
Historical mistakes or what?
The
1974 Mujib–Indira Land Boundary Agreement–implemented four decades later, in
2015–tidied up enclaves and pockets of disputed land, but it left one crucial
omission.
It
never established a DMZ. There is no clause limiting how close either country’s
military infrastructure can sit to the border.
What
exists instead is an unspoken “gentleman’s agreement,” a kind of informal
restraint. The Border Security Force (BSF) and Border Guard Bangladesh (BGB)
patrol their respective sides, but these are paramilitary units, not armies.
They
maintain appearances, not deterrence. For years, both countries avoided
erecting large military installations near the frontier. That restraint is now
eroding–unilaterally.
Compare
this with the India–Pakistan border, where hostility is institutionalized but
at least codified. The Line of Control (LoC), born of the 1949 ceasefire and
reaffirmed under the 1972 Simla Agreement, isn’t an international boundary, but
it is managed.
Both
armies respect a rough one-kilometer buffer zone–a “no man’s land” where new
fortifications or heavy artillery are prohibited. It’s a precarious peace, but
it’s peace by design. Between India and Bangladesh, no such mechanism exists.
So
if New Delhi decides tomorrow to lay down tarmac for rapid troop movement, to
build airfields capable of handling Rafale squadrons, or to deploy missile
batteries within artillery range of Bangladeshi territory, Dhaka’s options are
limited to protest–and prayer.
Western
capitals, to whom Bangladesh’s elites increasingly genuflect, will not
intervene. Washington’s eyes are elsewhere. And Brussels has neither appetite
nor leverage.
China
and Russia could, in theory, offer a hedge. But that would require strategic
sophistication–something Dhaka’s political class has consistently failed to
display.
The
current government is too dependent on Western validation to pivot eastward;
any elected successor would likely be too fragile to survive the diplomatic
fallout. The result is paralysis, a small state trapped between great powers,
mistaking slogans for strategy.
The
grim parallel is obvious. Ukraine, too, once mistook diplomacy for deterrence.
It believed geography and goodwill would shield it from encirclement.
Bangladesh risks a similar fate.
Probably
not from invasion, but from irrelevance.
And
so, to those who beat their chests online, to the self-anointed digital
warriors–the “five million soldiers of Jamaat” who claim they’ll march on the
Chicken’s Neck–one question remains: when your country cannot even enforce a
demarcation line, what exactly do you think you’re going to occupy?
—
Arifuzzaman Tuhin is a Dhaka-based
journalist

