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For Bangladesh, climate change is not tomorrow…it’s today

Dr Muhammad Abdul Bari

Dr Muhammad Abdul Bari

Publish: 24 Sep 2025, 03:34 PM

For Bangladesh, climate change is not tomorrow…it’s today

Bangladesh, with its 180 million people, stands at the knife’s edge of the planet’s most unforgiving crisis: climate change. For this small, crowded nation on the world’s largest river delta, the catastrophe is not a distant warning–it is already here.

Rising seas, cyclones of terrifying intensity, swollen rivers, parched fields–these are not tomorrow’s projections but today’s brutal facts.

Nowhere is the vulnerability starker than in the Sundarbans, the world’s largest mangrove forest and home to some of Bangladesh’s poorest communities. Here, the geography that once sustained life has become a trap.

Cyclones batter the coast with merciless regularity, forcing families to migrate–some temporarily as seasonal laborers, others permanently, abandoning homes swallowed by the sea.

The Australian think tank Institute for Economics and Peace warns that up to 1.2 billion people worldwide could be displaced by climate change by 2050. For Bangladesh, the forecast is devastating: 17 percent of its land submerged, 20 million citizens uprooted.

The cruelty is in the imbalance. Bangladesh has done almost nothing to fuel this crisis–it is a negligible contributor to global emissions–yet it is among the most vulnerable.

The cost is borne not in carbon markets or summits but in shattered villages, ruined crops, and lives adrift. This is the peril of geography: the same Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna delta that blesses the nation with fertile soil also makes it a bullseye for floods, salinity intrusion, and erosion.

What the rivers give, they also take away–entire villages vanish each year, devoured by shifting banks.

Storm surges from Sidr in 2007, Aila in 2009, Amphan in 2020 left behind landscapes of ruin, not just in broken homes but in livelihoods wiped clean. The monsoon, once the reliable metronome of life, has turned erratic, bringing the twin miseries of drought and deluge.

Agriculture, the backbone of Bangladesh’s economy, is increasingly at the mercy of weather that no longer obeys its seasons.

That’s why Bangladesh is living a paradox: it has made real progress in development, poverty reduction, and resilience-building, yet climate change threatens to unravel it all.

The country cannot afford to fight this battle alone. Its plight is not just a national emergency,it is a warning to the world. What happens here will echo far beyond its shores.


Understanding the core issues

Climate change in Bangladesh is about the unraveling of society itself. Environmental shocks here translate into human catastrophe: mass displacement, forced migration, swelling slums, collapsing food systems, and a public health crisis already in motion.

By 2050, projections suggest 13 to 20 million Bangladeshis could be forced from their homes, many from vulnerable coastal districts like Khulna, Satkhira, and Bhola.

These climate refugees will not vanish into thin air, they will pour into already choking cities like Dhaka and Chattogram, cities that can barely sustain their current populations.

Slums will grow, traffic will seize, pollution will worsen. What is now a crisis of climate will metastasize into a crisis of survival.

The threats do not end at displacement. Agriculture, still the livelihood of nearly 40 percent of Bangladesh’s workforce, hangs in the balance. Erratic rainfall, creeping salinity, and frequent crop failures jeopardize both farmers’ incomes and the nation’s food security.

At the same time, the textile industry, the backbone of Bangladesh’s export economy, is increasingly disrupted by floods, water shortages, and crumbling infrastructure. What begins as environmental stress quickly mutates into economic instability, eroding competitiveness and threatening growth hard-won over decades.

Health, too, is under siege. Vector-borne diseases are spreading, malnutrition is worsening, and waterborne illnesses are multiplying as ecosystems degrade. This is what climate breakdown looks like: not one disaster, but cascading crises feeding into one another.

The cost of inaction is staggering. By 2050, climate change could drain Bangladesh of billions annually, while the influx of climate migrants will push housing, healthcare, and jobs to the breaking point.

Unless the country adapts, the very foundation of its economic momentum could collapse under the weight of climate shocks.

This is precisely the reason Bangladesh cannot afford piecemeal measures. It needs a bold, forward-looking strategy–one that fuses policy reform and grassroots ingenuity.

Reinforced embankments, cyclone shelters, and modern drainage systems are not luxuries; they are lifelines. Urban planning must be reimagined to absorb climate migration rather than be crushed by it.

And resilience cannot be an afterthought, it must be the organizing principle of national development.

Only with such a comprehensive plan can Bangladesh hope to withstand what is no longer a looming threat but a living reality.


A pointed approach

If Bangladesh is to withstand the coming storm, resilience must be built brick by brick, field by field, policy by policy. That begins with infrastructure.

Embankments must be reinforced to hold back rising seas, cyclone shelters expanded and maintained, and homes redesigned to endure floods. Cities cannot survive on outdated drainage and sewerage networks; they must be reengineered for a new climate reality.

Green infrastructure–parks, retention ponds, permeable roads–will be just as essential, softening the blows of urban flooding while offering cleaner, more livable spaces. These are not optional upgrades. They are survival strategies.

Food security is another front line. Climate volatility is already rewriting the rules of agriculture. Bangladesh must adapt or risk collapse. That means introducing salt- and drought-tolerant crop varieties, expanding agro-ecological farming that conserves water and fertiliser, and equipping farmers with real-time weather forecasts and mobile advisory services.

Safety nets like crop insurance and microcredit could give smallholders the resilience to survive bad seasons without plunging into poverty. Protecting agriculture is about safeguarding livelihoods, stabilising the economy, and preventing hunger from driving further displacement.

Preparedness will save lives when the next cyclone makes landfall. Community-based early warning systems, amplified through SMS and digital platforms, can give families precious hours to evacuate.

Local volunteers, trained in emergency response, can be the difference between chaos and coordination. Digital hazard maps, accessible to the public, can turn knowledge into protection.

These measures are inexpensive compared to the human and financial toll of disasters, yet they demand political will to scale and sustain.

Bangladesh must also confront the inevitability of climate migration. Displacement is no longer a hypothetical–it is happening. The government needs a long-term framework to recognise climate refugees, protect their rights, and plan for their resettlement. Secondary towns must be developed into resilient hubs to absorb inflows, easing the unbearable strain on Dhaka and Chattogram.

Families torn from their land must not also be deprived of housing, healthcare, and education. Failing to manage this migration will mean trading one crisis for another.

Finally, Bangladesh has the opportunity to leapfrog into a low-carbon future. The country has an abundance of sunshine and wind waiting to be harnessed.

Scaling up solar mini-grids and household systems in rural areas, investing in clean cooking solutions, and incentivising energy-efficient practices in industries like textiles and leather would cut emissions while strengthening energy security.

Supporting green entrepreneurs and climate-tech startups could unlock innovation and jobs, proving that climate action is not just about survival but about building a different kind of prosperity.


Institutional support and ingenious attempts

Resilience however cannot be built on infrastructure alone; it must be cultivated in minds and institutions. Bangladesh needs to invest in climate education, embedding literacy into school curricula so the next generation grows up fluent in the science and politics of survival.

Research in climate-smart agriculture must be funded, and partnerships between universities, NGOs, and think tanks should be strengthened to anchor policymaking in evidence rather than expedience. Without knowledge, even the best blueprints will fail.

On the global stage, Bangladesh must demand more than sympathy. The country should press its case at the UNFCCC, forge alliances with fellow vulnerable nations, and speak with moral clarity at COP summits.

Accessing climate finance will require not just persuasion but credibility: transparent, accountable systems for using foreign aid effectively. Done right, Bangladesh could position itself not just as a victim of climate change, but as a leader shaping the international agenda.

But the fight cannot be left to diplomats and technocrats. Climate change must be treated as a national emergency–a war that mobilises citizens as much as it does government.

The battlefield is everywhere: in homes, schools, factories, farms, and offices. Every citizen has a duty to reduce their carbon footprint, whether by altering diets, conserving water and energy, rethinking transport, or embracing the mantra of reduce, reuse, recycle.

Small acts, multiplied across 170 million people, become transformative.

This is not abstract rhetoric. Across the country, people are already adapting with ingenuity. In flood-prone areas, villagers have built floating gardens and schools. In saline-hit lands, farmers are cultivating salt-tolerant rice.

In urban slums, families grow food on rooftops. Youth groups plant trees and clean rivers; women’s cooperatives lead in solar power and sustainable enterprises. These grassroots responses are the true heartbeat of Bangladesh’s climate resilience–community-driven, necessity-born, and quietly revolutionary.

Yet resilience born of desperation must evolve into resilience built on governance, foresight, and innovation. Bangladesh has already shown the world how a resource-constrained nation can survive.

To truly lead, it must go further: strengthen environmental governance, embed climate literacy at every level of society, and forge international partnerships that unlock finance and technology.

In doing so, Bangladesh can turn its greatest vulnerability into its most powerful narrative–proof that adaptation is not surrender, but defiance.

Yet even amid the enormity of the crisis, Bangladesh is not without hope. Climate change may be the nation’s gravest threat, but it also offers a singular opportunity: to lead the Global South in adaptation, innovation, and sustainable development. Survival, after all, can be the mother of leadership.

The lesson is timeless. As the Prophet Muhammad (pbuh) taught, “Even if the Resurrection were established upon one of you while he has in his hand a sapling, let him plant it.”

The wisdom is clear: when confronted with forces beyond our control, we are still bound to act.

Bangladesh cannot afford paralysis. Every embankment reinforced, every salt-tolerant crop planted, every rooftop garden seeded is not just an act of resilience, but of defiance. Even the smallest action carries meaning in a struggle where inaction is not an option.

That is both the nation’s duty and its hope—and, perhaps, its lasting legacy.

Dr Muhammad Abdul Bari is an educationalist and author. He has served East London's diverse communities in various capacities for three decades.

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