What's behind China's launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile
UNB
Publish: 26 Sep 2024, 03:40 PM
TAIPEI,
Taiwan, Sept 26 (AP/UNB) - China test-fired an intercontinental ballistic
missile into the Pacific Ocean on Wednesday in a rare occurrence, adding to
tensions in the region where multiple countries have overlapping territorial
claims and both Beijing and Washington seek to project their influence.
The launch was part of
routine training by the People's Liberation Army's Rocket Force, which is in
charge of conventional and nuclear missile operations, and was not aimed at any
country or target, the Defense Ministry said in a statement.
The ICBM, carrying a
dummy warhead, landed in a designated area in the sea, the ministry said,
without specifying where exactly.
China rarely tests ICBMs
out in international waters, with some experts tracing the last such deployment
back to May 1980, when Beijing launched a DF-5 missile into the South Pacific.
Usually, the PLA test-fires ballistic missiles in China's remote Xinjiang
region or in the Bohai Sea.
Why the Pacific, why
now?
China choosing the Pacific
Ocean as the location for test-firing its missile comes across as both a
display of its increased nuclear capabilities and as a warning to the United
States and its allies in the region, experts say.
"There is no other
potential audience, as China does not expect to have to confront the EU or the
U.K. militarily," said Steve Tsang, director of the SOAS China Institute
in London.
The test also comes
weeks ahead of an expected call between Chinese leader Xi Jinping and U.S.
President Joe Biden. It marks an increase in regional security tensions with
U.S. allies Japan and the Philippines, and a continuation of frictions with the
self-ruled island of Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its own territory.
Taiwan's Defense
Ministry said Wednesday it was monitoring the missile launch, along with other
military exercises by China in the region.
The launch, coinciding
with the U.N. General Assembly meeting in New York, "is a pretty blunt
signal" to the international order, said Drew Thompson, a senior fellow at
the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore and a former
U.S. defense official.
"China is signaling
that its forbearance has limits, that it is prepared to use its most powerful
weapons to deter adversaries or punish them if needed, if deterrence
fails," he said.
Wednesday's launch also
follows a series of corruption arrests this year that ensnared several leading
officers in its rocket corps on allegations of misconduct. Its aim could be to
both provide assurances at home and signal to the world that the issues have
been resolved.
How strong is China's
military?
China boasts the world's
largest standing army and the biggest navy. Its military budget is the second
highest in the world, after that of the U.S.
According to the U.S.,
China also has the largest air force in the Indo-Pacific, with more than half
of its fighter planes consisting of fourth or fifth generation models. China
also boasts a massive stockpile of missiles, along with stealth aircraft,
bombers capable of delivering nuclear weapons, advanced surface ships and
nuclear-powered submarines.
In his more than a
decade in power, Xi, who is also chairman of the Central Military Commission,
has spearheaded the armed forces' modernization, with investments in high-tech
military technologies from stealth fighters to aircraft carriers and a growing
arsenal of nuclear weapons.
China's defense budget
has more than doubled since 2015, even as the country's economic growth rate
has slowed considerably. A U.S. Department of Defense report last year said
China has continued to strengthen the PLA's ability to "fight and win wars
against a strong enemy."
How China's missiles
compare to those of others?
The U.S. report also
estimated China had more than 500 operational nuclear warheads as of May 2023
and was on track to accumulate more than 1,000 operational nuclear warheads by
2030.
China has not revealed
the size of its nuclear arsenal.
In comparison, Russia is
believed to have a total inventory of more than 5,580 warheads - including
4,380 stockpiled warheads for operational forces, as well as an additional
1,200 retired warheads awaiting dismantlement - according to a report this year
by the Federation of American Scientists.
The same report put the
U.S. nuclear warheads at 5,044.
How common are missile
tests in the region?
Few countries have ICBMs
in their arsenal, and testing is usually restricted to their own territory.
North Korea has carried out multiple ICBM tests since 2017, including firing a
developmental solid-fueled missile in December that came down in the waters between
the Korean Peninsula and Japan.
The U.S. earlier this
year fired two unarmed ICBMs equipped with reentry vehicles from California and
brought them down on an American test site in the Marshall Islands.
END/UNB/AP/PR