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Opinion

Science, sovereignty…and the long game

Irfan Sheikh

Irfan Sheikh

Publish: 29 Apr 2026, 04:08 PM

Science, sovereignty…and the long game

In Bangladesh, on Tuesday, officials celebrated the loading of uranium fuel at the Rooppur nuclear power plant while in India, far less noisily but far more consequentially, scientists at Kalpakkam in Tamil Nadu advanced a decades-old nuclear strategy by converting plutonium into uranium-233. 

One event was, in all good senses, theatrical. The other was strategic.

The contrast matters because energy policy is rarely about electricity alone. It is about sovereignty and the ability to think in generations rather than election cycles. Countries that master energy technologies gain room to manoeuvre in foreign policy, resilience in trade and leverage in industry. 

Those that merely import turnkey systems gain megawatts, but often little else.

India’s programme rests on an old insight. Soon after independence, Jawaharlal Nehru and the physicist Homi J Bhabha understood that a poor country could not build lasting autonomy while remaining hostage to imported fuel. 

India lacked abundant reserves of high-grade uranium suitable for conventional nuclear expansion. But it possessed something else—one of the world’s largest thorium reserves, concentrated largely in coastal sands.

Thorium is not a ready-made reactor fuel. It must be converted through a sophisticated breeding process into fissile material, notably uranium-233. That required patience and a three-stage nuclear strategy. 

First, use available uranium resources in heavy-water reactors. Second, deploy fast breeder reactors that generate plutonium. Third, use plutonium to help convert thorium into uranium-233, enabling reactors powered substantially by indigenous fuel.

For decades, outsiders treated this as grandiose aspiration. Nuclear timelines are notoriously elastic, and India’s programme suffered delays and bureaucracy coupled with technical setbacks. 

Yet states that persist in difficult technologies often look foolish….until suddenly they do not. The Kalpakkam advance suggests that India has moved another step from theory to engineering reality.

If India eventually commercialises thorium at scale, the implications would be profound. It could reduce dependence on imported coal, gas and oil while cushioning itself from geopolitical shocks in the Gulf or elsewhere. 

It could also lessen dependence on imported solar supply chains dominated by China. 

No country becomes fully energy independent in a literal sense. But degrees of dependence matter, and India is trying to shrink them through science rather than slogans.

Just as important is the spillover effect. Nations that sustain complex research ecosystems do not only produce reactors. They produce metallurgists, software engineers, precision manufacturers, control-system designers and managers of large projects. 

Deep capability in one frontier sector often fertilises many others. That is why investment in universities and laboratories can appear slow, expensive and abstract—until it becomes visible everywhere.

Bangladesh’s expensive shortcut

Bangladesh has chosen a different route. Rooppur promises valuable generating capacity and may help ease chronic power shortages. Nuclear energy can be a rational choice for a fast-growing economy with limited domestic fuel resources. 

But the manner of acquisition matters as much as the technology itself.

Rooppur has been built largely through foreign finance, foreign contractors and foreign expertise. Its headline cost has drawn scrutiny, especially in a country where public procurement controversies are familiar. 

When a project depends heavily on external borrowing, imported components and long-term servicing arrangements, the true bill is larger than the ribbon-cutting figure. Debt servicing, currency depreciation, fuel purchases, maintenance contracts and waste management all accumulate over time.

That does not automatically make the project a mistake. Large infrastructure everywhere is expensive. Yet there is a crucial distinction between buying electricity and buying capability. Bangladesh appears to have prioritised the former while neglecting the latter.

The deeper issue is institutional. Countries that wish to master advanced technology need universities that reward competence, research systems that value merit and bureaucracies able to absorb knowledge. 

They need laboratories, scholarships, transparent procurement and a culture that treats engineers as nation-builders rather than afterthoughts. Without those foundations, imported mega-projects become monuments to dependency.

Bangladesh possesses resources of its own, including reported thorium-bearing coastal sands in areas such as Cox’s Bazar and Kuakata. Whether those deposits are commercially viable would require serious geological and economic assessment. 

But even exploring such possibilities demands domestic scientific capacity. A nation cannot exploit what it has not bothered to measure.

This is where the comparison with India becomes uncomfortable. 

India’s success, partial and uneven though it is, rests less on any single reactor than on decades of investment in institutions: institutes of technology, research centres, nuclear laboratories and an administrative culture that, however flawed, still values technical depth. 

Bangladesh has too often politicised campuses, underfunded research and tolerated governance that repels talent rather than attracts it.

The result is a recurring cycle. Foreign consultants are hired to plan what local experts were never trained to do. Imported systems are purchased because domestic firms were never nurtured to build them. 

Cost overruns are excused because no independent technical class is strong enough to challenge them. Dependency then becomes self-reinforcing.

South Asia’s April nuclear contrast therefore tells a larger story. One country celebrated fuel arriving from abroad. Another advanced a plan to create fuel from what lies under its own soil. One pursued a shortcut to capacity. 

The other pursued, however slowly, a route to competence.

For Bangladesh, the lesson is not to envy India or to romanticise thorium. It is simpler and harsher: national strength cannot be imported turnkey. It is assembled in classrooms and institutions over decades. 

Irfan Sheikh is a writer and analyst. He graduated in International Relations from Jahangirnagar University 

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